PnL (30d)

+$1,266

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$152

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

118W / 108L · 117 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

200W / 142L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

343

across 23 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

+$90.42

avg win $219 · loss $382

Profit Factor

2.11

$2,411 won / $1,145 lost

Reward / Risk

0.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,548

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 161W/161L	47	$43,300
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/110L	17	$11,778

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	3,025	0.825	$2,495.70	$273.30	+12.3%
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	Yes	3,228	0.745	$2,405.05	$65.56	+2.8%
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Yes	1,932	0.938	$1,811.41	$355.18	+24.4%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	1,000	0.828	$828.00	$100.03	+13.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	500	0.979	$489.26	$97.26	+24.8%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	115	0.988	$113.76	$13.76	+13.8%
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	755	0.017	$12.46	$4.91	+65.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,500	0.004	$6.75	$-298.25	-97.8%