PnL (30d)

+$906

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$132

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

161W / 161L · 130 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

256W / 195L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

452

across 47 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$25.90

avg win $204 · loss $420

Profit Factor

1.22

$5,105 won / $4,199 lost

Reward / Risk

0.49

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,083

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 161W/161L	47	$43,300
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/110L	17	$11,778

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	3,025	0.825	$2,495.70	$273.30	+12.3%
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	Yes	3,228	0.745	$2,405.05	$65.56	+2.8%
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Yes	1,932	0.901	$1,741.85	$285.62	+19.6%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	1,000	0.830	$829.50	$101.53	+13.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	500	0.966	$482.76	$90.76	+23.2%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	115	0.986	$113.47	$13.47	+13.5%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,500	0.008	$12.00	$-293.00	-96.1%
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	755	0.015	$10.95	$3.40	+45.0%