Miguelprado
0xdd4bb791094fba6287360855d5aa744e74c93568
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$10
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+82.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
6W / 0L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
7W / 3L
Trades (30d)
10
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.46
avg win $2
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45 · all-time $44,314
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
45 |
0.645 |
$29.04 |
$7.78 |
+36.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
44 |
0.615 |
$27.27 |
$-7.73 |
-22.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
92 |
0.155 |
$14.24 |
$-19.76 |
-58.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
45 |
0.305 |
$13.86 |
$-6.14 |
-30.7% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.073 |
$0.73 |
$-0.27 |
-27.2% |