PnL (30d)

−$6

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

111W / 93L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

116W / 97L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

216

across 120 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.05

avg win $3 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.97

$192 won / $198 lost

Reward / Risk

0.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.4% 111W/93L	120	$1,192
🏛 Politics	—	1	$29

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	45	0.655	$29.49	$8.23	+38.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	44	0.615	$27.27	$-7.73	-22.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	92	0.165	$15.16	$-18.84	-55.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	45	0.305	$13.86	$-6.14	-30.7%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10	0.072	$0.72	$-0.28	-28.2%