PnL (30d)

+$3,618

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$335

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

76%

71W / 22L · 122 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

144W / 71L

Trades (30d)

215

across 26 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$258.42

avg win $1,221 · loss $127

Profit Factor

3.86

$4,883 won / $1,265 lost

Reward / Risk

9.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,419

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	76.3% 71W/22L	26	$191,198
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/52L	9	$102,490
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/51L	3	$93,130

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	6,504	0.986	$6,413.11	$433.43	+7.2%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	2,267	0.833	$1,887.19	$179.89	+10.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	No	1,869	0.875	$1,635.80	$266.78	+19.5%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	No	1,288	0.990	$1,274.13	$73.24	+6.1%
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?	No	452	0.963	$435.53	$107.99	+33.0%
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?	No	434	0.725	$314.37	$2.17	+0.7%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	16,270	0.013	$219.64	$-141.06	-39.1%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11,402	0.007	$85.51	$-281.67	-76.7%
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	90	0.755	$67.84	$3.04	+4.7%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	1,502	0.025	$38.14	$-11.41	-23.0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	107	0.343	$36.61	$3.12	+9.3%
GTA VI released before November 2026?	Yes	955	0.029	$27.70	$-162.00	-85.4%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	1,963	0.011	$20.61	$-473.12	-95.8%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	12,980	0.002	$19.47	$-311.53	-94.1%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,295	0.002	$3.44	$-8.03	-70.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	No	30	0.014	$0.41	$-13.19	-97.0%