| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
20,000 |
0.790 |
$15,810.00 |
$5,810.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.209 |
$4,190.00 |
$-5,810.00 |
-58.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
3,333 |
0.986 |
$3,284.65 |
$15.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
3,335 |
0.975 |
$3,251.62 |
$214.03 |
+7.0% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
3,300 |
0.940 |
$3,101.99 |
$465.00 |
+17.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,555 |
0.976 |
$1,516.91 |
$8.56 |
+0.6% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,274 |
0.981 |
$1,249.40 |
$6.37 |
+0.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
3,000 |
0.290 |
$870.00 |
$-300.00 |
-25.6% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
666 |
0.930 |
$619.71 |
$-6.33 |
-1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.601 |
$600.50 |
$-194.50 |
-24.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.945 |
$524.48 |
$8.33 |
+1.6% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.865 |
$432.49 |
$2.50 |
+0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
402 |
0.905 |
$363.81 |
$124.81 |
+52.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$-99.50 |
-23.6% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
300 |
0.905 |
$271.65 |
$-4.95 |
-1.8% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? |
No |
317 |
0.852 |
$270.02 |
$-7.53 |
-2.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.988 |
$246.88 |
$8.88 |
+3.7% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
No |
276 |
0.789 |
$218.11 |
$-50.82 |
-18.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.895 |
$179.00 |
$15.00 |
+9.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
555 |
0.285 |
$158.12 |
$-147.13 |
-48.2% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.722 |
$144.40 |
$-27.60 |
-16.0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
145 |
0.935 |
$135.90 |
$2.56 |
+1.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
200 |
0.630 |
$126.00 |
$48.00 |
+61.5% |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? |
No |
144 |
0.810 |
$116.64 |
$-0.83 |
-0.7% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
100 |
0.970 |
$96.95 |
$8.95 |
+10.2% |