| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
20,000 |
0.790 |
$15,810.00 |
$5,810.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.209 |
$4,190.00 |
$-5,810.00 |
-58.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
3,333 |
0.986 |
$3,284.65 |
$15.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
3,335 |
0.981 |
$3,269.96 |
$232.37 |
+7.6% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
3,300 |
0.940 |
$3,101.99 |
$465.00 |
+17.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,555 |
0.976 |
$1,517.69 |
$9.33 |
+0.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
3,000 |
0.295 |
$885.00 |
$-285.00 |
-24.4% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
666 |
0.933 |
$621.38 |
$-4.66 |
-0.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.535 |
$535.50 |
$-259.50 |
-32.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
402 |
0.895 |
$359.79 |
$120.79 |
+50.5% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$-99.50 |
-23.6% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? |
No |
317 |
0.852 |
$270.02 |
$-7.53 |
-2.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.989 |
$247.12 |
$9.12 |
+3.8% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
No |
276 |
0.789 |
$218.11 |
$-50.82 |
-18.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.885 |
$177.00 |
$13.00 |
+7.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
555 |
0.315 |
$174.82 |
$-130.43 |
-42.7% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.723 |
$144.60 |
$-27.40 |
-15.9% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
145 |
0.935 |
$135.90 |
$2.56 |
+1.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
200 |
0.590 |
$118.00 |
$40.00 |
+51.3% |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? |
No |
144 |
0.810 |
$116.64 |
$-0.83 |
-0.7% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
100 |
0.979 |
$97.85 |
$9.85 |
+11.2% |
| Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28? |
No |
102 |
0.946 |
$96.11 |
$4.37 |
+4.8% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.820 |
$82.00 |
$-8.00 |
-8.9% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.937 |
$75.43 |
$0.86 |
+1.2% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.650 |
$65.00 |
$-25.00 |
-27.8% |