PnL (30d)

−$143

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$226

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

1W / 36L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

4W / 41L

Trades (30d)

45

across 9 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$28.63

avg win $180 · loss $81

Profit Factor

0.56

$180 won / $324 lost

Reward / Risk

2.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$296

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	19.0% 12W/51L	21	$18,221
🎬 Culture	19.4% 6W/25L	6	$6,395
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/35L	3	$296

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	20,610	0.798	$16,457.03	$10,930.70	+197.8%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes	6,237	0.325	$2,026.92	$-2,091.35	-50.8%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	996	0.606	$603.14	$163.04	+37.0%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	2,050	0.105	$215.21	$6.28	+3.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	544	0.114	$61.80	$48.69	+371.4%
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?	Yes	371	0.093	$34.66	$13.48	+63.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	Yes	30	0.235	$7.05	$-0.15	-2.1%
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	Yes	95	0.055	$5.20	$-28.85	-84.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	1	0.856	$0.88	$0.37	+71.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.144	$0.15	$-0.37	-71.1%