junkbonds
0xdaad6f960d507dba148c1ff908db5a28743169cc
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$270
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10,920
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
6W / 25L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
11W / 25L
Trades (30d)
36
across 6 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$53.92
avg win $542 · loss $68
Profit Factor
1.99
$542 won / $273 lost
Reward / Risk
7.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$268
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,927 · all-time $6,142,040
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
20,610 |
0.798 |
$16,446.72 |
$10,920.40 |
+197.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
Yes |
6,237 |
0.325 |
$2,026.92 |
$-2,091.35 |
-50.8% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
996 |
0.606 |
$603.14 |
$163.04 |
+37.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? |
Yes |
2,050 |
0.105 |
$215.21 |
$6.28 |
+3.0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? |
Yes |
544 |
0.118 |
$64.52 |
$51.41 |
+392.2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? |
Yes |
371 |
0.093 |
$34.48 |
$13.30 |
+62.8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.205 |
$6.15 |
$-1.05 |
-14.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? |
Yes |
95 |
0.055 |
$5.20 |
$-28.85 |
-84.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
1 |
0.857 |
$0.89 |
$0.37 |
+71.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1 |
0.143 |
$0.15 |
$-0.37 |
-71.3% |