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junkbonds

0xdaad6f960d507dba148c1ff908db5a28743169cc
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$270
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10,920
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
6W / 25L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
11W / 25L
Trades (30d)
36
across 6 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$53.92
avg win $542 · loss $68
Profit Factor
1.99
$542 won / $273 lost
Reward / Risk
7.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$268
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,927 · all-time $6,142,040

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 19.0% 12W/51L 21 $18,221
🎬 Culture 19.4% 6W/25L 6 $6,395
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/35L 3 $296

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 20,610 0.798 $16,446.72 $10,920.40 +197.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes 6,237 0.325 $2,026.92 $-2,091.35 -50.8%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 996 0.606 $603.14 $163.04 +37.0%
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes 2,050 0.105 $215.21 $6.28 +3.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? Yes 544 0.118 $64.52 $51.41 +392.2%
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes 371 0.093 $34.48 $13.30 +62.8%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes 30 0.205 $6.15 $-1.05 -14.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes 95 0.055 $5.20 $-28.85 -84.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 1 0.857 $0.89 $0.37 +71.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1 0.143 $0.15 $-0.37 -71.3%