Trader
0xd8cae792b3d84d6888080401423e973337287229
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$278
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$95
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
4W / 20L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
7W / 22L
Trades (30d)
29
across 5 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$139.10
avg win $2,890 · loss $2,612
Profit Factor
1.11
$2,890 won / $2,612 lost
Reward / Risk
1.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,899 · all-time $1,987,916
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
14,878 |
0.455 |
$6,769.26 |
$-270.71 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.445 |
$1,779.99 |
$-60.00 |
-3.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.625 |
$937.50 |
$-37.50 |
-3.8% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.465 |
$930.00 |
$-90.00 |
-8.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
600 |
0.465 |
$279.00 |
$9.00 |
+3.3% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,893 |
0.120 |
$227.14 |
$-977.96 |
-81.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
49 |
0.405 |
$19.72 |
$0.24 |
+1.2% |