Trader
0xd8cae792b3d84d6888080401423e973337287229
PnL (30d)
−$670
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$55
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
32W / 53L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
36W / 55L
Trades (30d)
91
across 36 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$20.93
avg win $434 · loss $476
Profit Factor
0.91
$6,948 won / $7,618 lost
Reward / Risk
0.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,351
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,169 · all-time $1,987,186
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
14,878 |
0.455 |
$6,769.26 |
$-270.71 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.445 |
$1,779.99 |
$-60.00 |
-3.3% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.485 |
$970.00 |
$-50.00 |
-4.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.625 |
$937.50 |
$-37.50 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
600 |
0.455 |
$273.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.1% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,893 |
0.120 |
$227.14 |
$-977.96 |
-81.2% |
| Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Antoine Ghibaudo |
Antoine Ghibaudo |
130 |
0.555 |
$72.15 |
$-1.95 |
-2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
49 |
0.405 |
$19.72 |
$0.24 |
+1.2% |