Trader
0xd825669ebc41be9592ea7959c20989e76d60a76e
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$675
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$485
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
250W / 41L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
269W / 41L
Trades (30d)
310
across 45 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$15.34
avg win $41 · loss $147
Profit Factor
1.76
$1,559 won / $884 lost
Reward / Risk
0.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$286
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $98,074 · all-time $2,102,963
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
74.5%
2,196W/752L
|
334 |
$106,010 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
82.6%
171W/36L
|
33 |
$9,267 |
|
🎬 Culture
|
63.0%
17W/10L
|
5 |
$1,900 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
1,000 |
0.945 |
$944.97 |
$494.99 |
+110.0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.074 |
$37.00 |
$-58.00 |
-61.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
500 |
0.045 |
$22.50 |
$-27.50 |
-55.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.040 |
$19.75 |
$-50.25 |
-71.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.016 |
$16.00 |
$-19.00 |
-54.3% |