PnL (30d)

−$3,957

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

2,196W / 752L · 78 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

2,215W / 761L · 50 open

Trades (30d)

3,026

across 334 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$12.06

avg win $34 · loss $159

Profit Factor

0.68

$8,469 won / $12,426 lost

Reward / Risk

0.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,581

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.5% 2,196W/752L	334	$106,010
₿ Crypto	82.6% 171W/36L	33	$9,267
🎬 Culture	63.0% 17W/10L	5	$1,900

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	1,000	0.525	$524.99	$75.00	+16.7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	500	0.073	$36.50	$-58.50	-61.6%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	500	0.045	$22.50	$-27.50	-55.0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	500	0.040	$19.75	$-50.25	-71.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,000	0.017	$16.50	$-18.50	-52.9%