Varyag
0xd75d96a23515172778d3281f53c9180b985100c8
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$0
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
5%
3W / 53L
Trades (30d)
56
across 4 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,342 · all-time $960,481
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? |
No |
114 |
0.125 |
$14.29 |
$2.15 |
+17.7% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
No |
107 |
0.130 |
$13.85 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.132 |
$13.20 |
$3.20 |
+32.0% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
Yes |
517 |
0.005 |
$2.84 |
$-1.67 |
-37.1% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
Yes |
63 |
0.018 |
$1.10 |
$-5.27 |
-82.7% |