PnL (30d)

−$43

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$69

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

117W / 98L · 58 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

120W / 151L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

273

across 36 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$1.37

avg win $20 · loss $40

Profit Factor

0.90

$394 won / $437 lost

Reward / Risk

0.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.4% 117W/98L	36	$6,075
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/2L	6	$154
🔬 Science	—	4	$42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	No	114	0.145	$16.58	$4.43	+36.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?	Yes	100	0.141	$14.14	$4.14	+41.4%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	107	0.130	$13.85	$0.00	+0.0%
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	517	0.005	$2.84	$-1.67	-37.1%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	63	0.018	$1.10	$-5.27	-82.7%