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Trader leaderboard/0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

0xd71776a8d4fddeb3c150c4607b3f8bec31213b85
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$58
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$24
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
168W / 77L · 146 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
245W / 143L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
391
across 59 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$1.64
avg win $17 · loss $49
Profit Factor
0.88
$431 won / $488 lost
Reward / Risk
0.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$109
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $53,574 · all-time $1,620,055

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 11,440W/10,488L 6613 $259,732
🌤 Weather 43.3% 469W/614L 381 $7,944
⚽ Sports 34.8% 150W/281L 249 $4,840
🏛 Politics 29.8% 54W/127L 63 $5,191
🎬 Culture 22.1% 29W/102L 37 $1,858
💵 Economy 46.9% 15W/17L 18 $2,483
₿ Crypto 56.2% 9W/7L 11 $264
🤖 Tech 15.8% 3W/16L 5 $177

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

65 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 188 0.615 $115.62 $108.66 +1560.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 66 0.635 $42.14 $4.31 +11.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? No 32 0.985 $31.38 $-0.35 -1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? No 32 0.975 $31.06 $31.06 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? No 32 0.880 $28.04 $28.04 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 6? No 18 1.000 $17.74 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 17 0.989 $16.73 $0.19 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? No 32 0.455 $14.50 $0.16 +1.1%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 32 0.320 $10.32 $4.94 +92.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? No 10 0.998 $9.78 $9.78 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? No 14 0.675 $9.69 $9.69 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? Yes 8 0.995 $7.96 $7.23 +994.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 25 0.240 $6.00 $6.00 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 6 0.765 $4.59 $4.59 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 10 0.376 $3.62 $3.62 +0.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? No 9 0.310 $2.91 $2.91 +0.0%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 10 0.180 $1.80 $1.80 +0.0%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 5 0.355 $1.78 $1.78 +0.0%
Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 10 0.141 $1.41 $1.41 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? No 4 0.340 $1.36 $1.36 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes 4 0.274 $1.01 $1.01 +0.0%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No 1 0.996 $1.00 $0.13 +14.8%
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes 22 0.039 $0.85 $0.85 +0.0%
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 10 0.075 $0.76 $0.76 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 10 0.051 $0.49 $0.49 +0.0%