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Trader leaderboard/0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

0xd71776a8d4fddeb3c150c4607b3f8bec31213b85
PnL (30d)
−$1,958
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$164
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
11,437W / 10,478L · 1,226 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
11,785W / 10,775L · 581 open
Trades (30d)
23,141
across 6,613 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.33
avg win $7 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.92
$23,379 won / $25,339 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$861
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $53,252 · all-time $1,619,732

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 11,437W/10,478L 6613 $259,732
🌤 Weather 43.5% 469W/608L 381 $7,944
⚽ Sports 34.8% 150W/281L 249 $4,840
🏛 Politics 29.8% 54W/127L 63 $5,191
🎬 Culture 22.1% 29W/102L 37 $1,858
💵 Economy 46.9% 15W/17L 18 $2,483
₿ Crypto 56.2% 9W/7L 11 $264
🤖 Tech 15.8% 3W/16L 5 $177

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

64 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 188 0.615 $115.62 $108.66 +1560.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 66 0.640 $42.48 $4.65 +12.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 6? No 18 1.000 $17.74 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? No 18 0.988 $17.54 $-0.14 -0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? No 18 0.970 $17.22 $17.22 +0.0%
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 17 0.987 $16.69 $0.14 +0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? No 18 0.925 $16.42 $16.42 +0.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 32 0.320 $10.32 $4.94 +92.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? No 10 0.955 $9.36 $9.36 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? No 18 0.465 $8.25 $8.25 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? Yes 8 0.980 $7.84 $7.11 +978.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 25 0.240 $6.00 $6.00 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes 6 0.765 $4.59 $4.59 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 10 0.368 $3.55 $3.55 +0.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? No 9 0.317 $2.97 $2.97 +0.0%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 10 0.180 $1.80 $1.80 +0.0%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 5 0.355 $1.77 $1.77 +0.0%
Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 10 0.141 $1.41 $1.41 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? No 4 0.340 $1.36 $1.36 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes 4 0.277 $1.02 $1.02 +0.0%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No 1 0.994 $0.99 $0.13 +14.5%
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes 22 0.038 $0.82 $0.82 +0.0%
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes 10 0.075 $0.76 $0.76 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 10 0.051 $0.49 $0.49 +0.0%
Will Trump deport more than 1m people? Yes 20 0.019 $0.38 $0.38 +0.0%