| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,152 |
0.835 |
$1,797.21 |
$349.62 |
+24.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
1,344 |
0.999 |
$1,342.39 |
$411.45 |
+44.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
925 |
0.785 |
$726.44 |
$309.53 |
+74.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
665 |
0.855 |
$568.76 |
$223.96 |
+65.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
580 |
0.785 |
$455.23 |
$338.73 |
+290.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
278 |
0.963 |
$267.22 |
$5.75 |
+2.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
135 |
0.823 |
$110.97 |
$45.99 |
+70.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
164 |
0.675 |
$110.79 |
$11.17 |
+11.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.905 |
$78.24 |
$20.32 |
+35.1% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.895 |
$54.90 |
$3.88 |
+7.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
57 |
0.895 |
$51.35 |
$21.63 |
+72.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
52 |
0.820 |
$42.58 |
$2.08 |
+5.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
40 |
0.987 |
$39.46 |
$0.18 |
+0.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
36 |
0.945 |
$34.41 |
$15.01 |
+77.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
31 |
0.615 |
$18.89 |
$0.77 |
+4.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
380 |
0.033 |
$12.35 |
$2.47 |
+25.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
9 |
0.993 |
$8.75 |
$0.07 |
+0.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.945 |
$1.03 |
$0.10 |
+11.2% |