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Trader leaderboard/rocky42005

rocky42005

0xd6a8f78e03f156228fb87fcb8bafea5b92fa58fd
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$167
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$169
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
241W / 248L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
250W / 248L
Trades (30d)
498
across 48 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$3.54
avg win $19 · loss $24
Profit Factor
0.72
$427 won / $594 lost
Reward / Risk
0.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$126
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $74,260 · all-time $13,029,578

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.5% 3,690W/4,414L 692 $256,136
💵 Economy 15.2% 12W/67L 24 $19,467
⚽ Sports 56.5% 35W/27L 21 $8,463
₿ Crypto 17.6% 12W/56L 20 $19,337
🌤 Weather 37.6% 47W/78L 19 $773
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 9 $520
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $214
🔬 Science 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

96 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 868 0.500 $434.11 $161.50 +59.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? No 445 0.635 $282.85 $37.05 +15.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 271 0.915 $247.86 $-1.19 -0.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 308 0.790 $243.20 $-4.34 -1.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? No 760 0.320 $243.12 $-56.19 -18.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 236 0.956 $225.73 $0.99 +0.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 299 0.575 $172.04 $26.95 +18.6%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 396 0.405 $160.38 $1.98 +1.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? No 172 0.914 $156.93 $3.17 +2.1%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No 954 0.150 $143.16 $14.96 +11.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 300 0.365 $109.50 $1.50 +1.4%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 299 0.355 $106.06 $-18.08 -14.6%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 99 0.996 $98.68 $2.53 +2.6%
Elon Bull Run Parlay No 101 0.962 $97.11 $4.70 +5.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat? Yes 102 0.943 $96.60 $1.28 +1.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 95 0.985 $93.92 $0.88 +1.0%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? No 224 0.410 $91.81 $13.59 +17.4%
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 300 0.265 $79.50 $16.50 +26.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 119 0.657 $78.50 $-0.87 -1.1%
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder? Yes 299 0.255 $76.34 $-11.33 -12.9%
GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch Yes 199 0.380 $75.45 $-13.90 -15.6%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 105 0.615 $64.30 $51.22 +391.5%
Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 60 0.999 $59.44 $5.89 +11.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 300 0.175 $52.48 $-10.08 -16.1%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Yes 143 0.315 $45.05 $3.58 +8.6%