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Trader leaderboard/rocky42005

rocky42005

0xd6a8f78e03f156228fb87fcb8bafea5b92fa58fd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$79
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$49
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
64W / 41L · 65 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
94W / 76L
Trades (30d)
170
across 24 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$8.74
avg win $10 · loss $24
Profit Factor
0.34
$40 won / $119 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $76,095 · all-time $13,031,413

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.5% 3,690W/4,414L 692 $256,136
💵 Economy 15.2% 12W/67L 24 $19,467
⚽ Sports 56.5% 35W/27L 21 $8,463
₿ Crypto 17.6% 12W/56L 20 $19,337
🌤 Weather 37.6% 47W/78L 19 $773
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 9 $520
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $214
🔬 Science 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

94 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 868 0.530 $460.16 $187.54 +68.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? No 762 0.405 $308.41 $8.57 +2.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 308 0.825 $253.97 $6.43 +2.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 271 0.925 $250.57 $1.52 +0.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 299 0.650 $194.47 $49.38 +34.0%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 396 0.405 $160.38 $1.98 +1.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? No 172 0.914 $156.93 $3.17 +2.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? No 233 0.660 $153.96 $23.92 +18.4%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No 954 0.150 $143.16 $14.96 +11.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 300 0.415 $124.50 $16.50 +15.3%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 99 0.996 $98.68 $2.53 +2.6%
Elon Bull Run Parlay No 101 0.962 $97.11 $4.70 +5.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat? Yes 102 0.943 $96.60 $1.28 +1.3%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? No 224 0.410 $91.81 $13.59 +17.4%
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 300 0.270 $81.00 $18.00 +28.6%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 175 0.440 $76.89 $4.28 +5.9%
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder? Yes 299 0.255 $76.34 $-11.33 -12.9%
GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch Yes 199 0.380 $75.45 $-13.90 -15.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 119 0.596 $71.10 $-8.27 -10.4%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 105 0.615 $64.25 $51.17 +391.1%
Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 60 0.999 $59.44 $5.89 +11.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 300 0.175 $52.48 $-10.08 -16.1%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Yes 143 0.315 $45.05 $3.58 +8.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes 299 0.145 $43.42 $-24.03 -35.6%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 42 0.968 $40.71 $0.07 +0.2%