PnL (30d)

−$2,170

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$734

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

198W / 243L · 114 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

214W / 339L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

555

across 214 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$12.05

avg win $35 · loss $46

Profit Factor

0.55

$2,615 won / $4,785 lost

Reward / Risk

0.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$853

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.9% 198W/243L	214	$27,588
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	4	$2,650
₿ Crypto	—	3	$671
💵 Economy	—	3	$671

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	710	0.570	$404.63	$122.55	+43.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	427	0.805	$343.74	$134.51	+64.3%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	185	0.690	$127.85	$27.85	+27.8%
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	309	0.395	$122.00	$22.00	+22.0%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	199	0.260	$51.83	$1.83	+3.7%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	1,563	0.029	$46.09	$-242.91	-84.1%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	561	0.059	$33.13	$-43.37	-56.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?	No	92	0.350	$32.30	$-2.77	-7.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.011	$16.80	$6.80	+68.0%
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	Yes	4	0.060	$0.24	$-0.76	-76.0%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	58	0.003	$0.17	$-5.83	-97.1%