| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.735 |
$734.99 |
$7.00 |
+1.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,138 |
0.245 |
$523.86 |
$-75.02 |
-12.5% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
601 |
0.725 |
$435.98 |
$-3.02 |
-0.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,024 |
0.278 |
$284.16 |
$34.69 |
+13.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
168 |
0.780 |
$131.03 |
$90.42 |
+222.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
230 |
0.540 |
$124.31 |
$-29.32 |
-19.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
249 |
0.350 |
$86.99 |
$-27.77 |
-24.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,540 |
0.054 |
$83.15 |
$62.03 |
+293.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.685 |
$70.64 |
$34.55 |
+95.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
168 |
0.239 |
$40.15 |
$-18.65 |
-31.7% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.018 |
$39.60 |
$0.40 |
+1.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
209 |
0.125 |
$26.09 |
$-7.13 |
-21.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.115 |
$23.00 |
$-17.00 |
-42.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,376 |
0.006 |
$21.95 |
$-0.16 |
-0.7% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,330 |
0.015 |
$19.95 |
$-12.33 |
-38.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
94 |
0.170 |
$16.02 |
$-11.30 |
-41.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.004 |
$10.50 |
$-1.50 |
-12.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,096 |
0.009 |
$9.32 |
$4.93 |
+112.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$8.92 |
$1.99 |
+28.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.775 |
$8.19 |
$4.64 |
+130.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.53 |
$0.07 |
+1.7% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.330 |
$1.94 |
$0.29 |
+17.9% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.275 |
$1.62 |
$0.62 |
+61.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
2 |
0.715 |
$1.15 |
$0.15 |
+15.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.150 |
$0.85 |
$-1.09 |
-56.3% |