| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,995 |
0.675 |
$1,346.82 |
$127.34 |
+10.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,379 |
0.385 |
$530.91 |
$-30.59 |
-5.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
1,339 |
0.390 |
$522.07 |
$-60.06 |
-10.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
624 |
0.735 |
$458.74 |
$16.24 |
+3.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
491 |
0.835 |
$410.09 |
$-19.91 |
-4.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
417 |
0.890 |
$371.40 |
$115.40 |
+45.1% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? |
No |
380 |
0.630 |
$239.21 |
$-0.80 |
-0.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? |
No |
389 |
0.300 |
$116.61 |
$-16.99 |
-12.7% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? |
No |
165 |
0.560 |
$92.46 |
$54.06 |
+140.8% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
187 |
0.462 |
$86.27 |
$-23.73 |
-21.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
99 |
0.780 |
$77.02 |
$20.93 |
+37.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
78 |
0.675 |
$52.73 |
$2.73 |
+5.5% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
55 |
0.945 |
$51.67 |
$1.67 |
+3.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
65 |
0.775 |
$50.33 |
$0.33 |
+0.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
41 |
0.997 |
$40.41 |
$0.41 |
+1.0% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? |
No |
2 |
0.755 |
$1.66 |
$0.16 |
+11.0% |