| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,995 |
0.675 |
$1,346.82 |
$127.34 |
+10.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,379 |
0.375 |
$517.12 |
$-44.38 |
-7.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
1,339 |
0.365 |
$488.61 |
$-93.52 |
-16.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
624 |
0.735 |
$458.74 |
$16.24 |
+3.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
491 |
0.835 |
$410.09 |
$-19.91 |
-4.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
417 |
0.890 |
$371.40 |
$115.40 |
+45.1% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? |
No |
380 |
0.630 |
$239.21 |
$-0.80 |
-0.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? |
No |
389 |
0.305 |
$118.56 |
$-15.04 |
-11.3% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? |
No |
165 |
0.550 |
$90.81 |
$52.41 |
+136.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
187 |
0.465 |
$86.83 |
$-23.17 |
-21.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
99 |
0.820 |
$80.97 |
$24.88 |
+44.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
78 |
0.675 |
$52.73 |
$2.73 |
+5.5% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
55 |
0.945 |
$51.67 |
$1.67 |
+3.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
65 |
0.780 |
$50.65 |
$0.65 |
+1.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
41 |
0.997 |
$40.41 |
$0.41 |
+1.0% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? |
No |
2 |
0.750 |
$1.65 |
$0.15 |
+10.2% |