| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? |
No |
8 |
0.435 |
$3.54 |
$-0.20 |
-5.4% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? |
No |
3 |
0.680 |
$2.35 |
$0.52 |
+28.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.234 |
$2.33 |
$0.33 |
+16.7% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
No |
3 |
0.710 |
$2.15 |
$0.15 |
+7.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.375 |
$2.03 |
$0.03 |
+1.4% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? |
No |
11 |
0.192 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
2 |
0.820 |
$1.91 |
$0.91 |
+90.7% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
5 |
0.395 |
$1.85 |
$-0.15 |
-7.4% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.220 |
$1.83 |
$-0.17 |
-8.3% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.365 |
$1.78 |
$-0.22 |
-11.0% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.520 |
$1.51 |
$-0.49 |
-24.7% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.280 |
$1.44 |
$-0.56 |
-28.2% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.670 |
$1.43 |
$-0.57 |
-28.7% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.530 |
$1.31 |
$-0.69 |
-34.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? |
No |
1 |
0.920 |
$1.26 |
$0.26 |
+26.0% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? |
Yes |
5 |
0.210 |
$1.14 |
$-0.86 |
-43.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
2 |
0.675 |
$1.05 |
$0.05 |
+5.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.992 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+3.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
1 |
0.985 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+3.0% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
1 |
0.968 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+1.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.998 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.435 |
$0.76 |
$-0.24 |
-23.7% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
No |
2 |
0.215 |
$0.52 |
$0.01 |
+2.9% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.050 |
$0.31 |
$-0.93 |
-75.0% |