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Trader leaderboard/0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368

0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368

0xd44c919a655a007bcee15777c76b00cd3d8828c5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
17W / 13L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
20W / 13L
Trades (30d)
33
across 26 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.25
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
1.14
$47 won / $41 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,563 · all-time $57,765

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.5% 473W/938L 965 $5,490
⚽ Sports 23.7% 31W/100L 112 $478
🎬 Culture 80.0% 12W/3L 21 $81
🏛 Politics 57.1% 4W/3L 18 $92
🌤 Weather 22.7% 5W/17L 10 $38
💵 Economy 71.4% 5W/2L 7 $39
🤖 Tech 71.4% 5W/2L 5 $16
₿ Crypto 100.0% 6W/0L 5 $64

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

96 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 44 0.967 $42.53 $30.65 +258.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 40 0.984 $39.36 $27.36 +228.0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 39 0.585 $22.81 $0.97 +4.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? No 27 0.730 $19.71 $2.97 +17.7%
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 24 0.765 $18.36 $0.12 +0.7%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury 46 0.345 $15.73 $0.68 +4.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? No 31 0.480 $14.88 $-1.86 -11.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 15 0.952 $14.27 $1.97 +16.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? No 31 0.435 $13.48 $-3.56 -20.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 23 0.517 $11.89 $-6.05 -33.7%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 10 0.905 $8.82 $1.02 +13.1%
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No 9 0.770 $7.05 $1.56 +28.3%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 14 0.490 $6.96 $0.14 +2.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 18 0.355 $6.55 $-0.65 -9.0%
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.920 $6.34 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 6 0.995 $6.20 $0.94 +17.9%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes 72 0.080 $5.76 $2.16 +60.0%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 6 0.745 $4.83 $1.33 +38.0%
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.72 +18.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 12 0.400 $4.63 $1.62 +53.8%
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-07-25? Yes 9 0.495 $4.46 $3.46 +350.0%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat? Yes 5 0.880 $4.45 $0.15 +3.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? Yes 5 0.845 $4.29 $0.23 +5.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? No 5 0.845 $4.22 $0.47 +12.7%
CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 3.5 Over 8 0.520 $4.16 $3.12 +300.4%