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Trader leaderboard/0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368

0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368

0xd44c919a655a007bcee15777c76b00cd3d8828c5
PnL (30d)
−$175
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$43
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
473W / 938L · 122 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
539W / 983L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
1,533
across 965 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.20
avg win $8 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.93
$2,333 won / $2,507 lost
Reward / Risk
1.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$217
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,563 · all-time $57,765

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.5% 473W/938L 965 $5,490
⚽ Sports 24.0% 37W/117L 124 $598
🎬 Culture 84.2% 16W/3L 22 $102
🏛 Politics 72.7% 8W/3L 19 $113
🌤 Weather 12.2% 5W/36L 13 $80
💵 Economy 75.0% 6W/2L 8 $42
🤖 Tech 71.4% 5W/2L 5 $16
₿ Crypto 100.0% 6W/0L 5 $64

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

95 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 44 0.966 $42.50 $30.62 +257.8%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 40 0.983 $39.32 $27.32 +227.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? No 39 0.610 $23.79 $1.95 +8.9%
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 24 0.765 $18.36 $0.12 +0.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? No 27 0.670 $18.09 $1.35 +8.1%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury 46 0.335 $15.28 $0.23 +1.5%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 15 0.958 $14.36 $2.06 +16.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? No 31 0.425 $13.18 $-3.56 -21.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 23 0.526 $12.10 $-5.84 -32.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? No 31 0.335 $10.38 $-6.67 -39.1%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 10 0.905 $8.82 $1.02 +13.1%
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No 9 0.765 $7.00 $1.51 +27.5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 14 0.490 $6.96 $0.14 +2.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 18 0.345 $6.37 $-0.83 -11.6%
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.920 $6.34 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 6 0.997 $6.21 $0.95 +18.1%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes 72 0.080 $5.76 $2.16 +60.0%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 6 0.746 $4.83 $1.33 +38.1%
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 5 0.940 $4.70 $0.70 +17.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 12 0.400 $4.63 $1.62 +53.8%
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-07-25? Yes 9 0.495 $4.46 $3.46 +350.0%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat? Yes 5 0.880 $4.45 $0.15 +3.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? Yes 5 0.845 $4.29 $0.23 +5.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? No 5 0.845 $4.22 $0.47 +12.7%
CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 3.5 Over 8 0.510 $4.08 $3.04 +292.6%