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Trader

0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$64
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$30
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
8W / 4L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
11W / 22L
Trades (30d)
33
across 7 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$21.22
avg win $5 · loss $73
Profit Factor
0.13
$10 won / $73 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$74
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,224 · all-time $512,696

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.5% 133W/111L 83 $58,474
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 5 $266
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/9L 3 $159

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 3,051 0.235 $716.97 $-1,110.57 -60.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 800 0.705 $564.00 $236.00 +72.0%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes 1,725 0.285 $491.45 $9.36 +1.9%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 1,570 0.285 $447.42 $-290.60 -39.4%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 323 0.997 $322.36 $0.25 +0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 618 0.516 $319.21 $21.95 +7.4%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 475 0.425 $201.81 $-17.63 -8.0%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 1,241 0.125 $155.16 $-291.53 -65.3%
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 241 0.335 $80.85 $46.30 +134.0%
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 160 0.415 $66.44 $41.63 +167.8%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes 78 0.750 $58.40 $-1.94 -3.2%
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 79 0.485 $38.54 $-3.29 -7.9%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 381 0.075 $28.59 $-30.21 -51.4%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 300 0.045 $13.50 $-94.50 -87.5%