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Trader

0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
PnL (30d)
+$1,088
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$651
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
133W / 111L · 156 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
223W / 177L
Trades (30d)
400
across 83 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$20.16
avg win $99 · loss $114
Profit Factor
1.48
$3,370 won / $2,282 lost
Reward / Risk
0.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$92
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,224 · all-time $512,696

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.5% 133W/111L 83 $58,474
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 5 $266
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/9L 3 $159

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 3,051 0.235 $716.97 $-1,110.57 -60.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 800 0.725 $580.00 $252.00 +76.8%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes 1,725 0.290 $500.25 $18.16 +3.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 1,570 0.285 $447.42 $-290.60 -39.4%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 323 0.997 $322.36 $0.25 +0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 618 0.489 $302.53 $5.26 +1.8%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 475 0.425 $201.81 $-17.63 -8.0%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 1,241 0.125 $155.16 $-291.53 -65.3%
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 241 0.335 $80.85 $46.30 +134.0%
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 160 0.415 $66.44 $41.63 +167.8%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes 78 0.750 $58.40 $-1.94 -3.2%
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? Yes 79 0.485 $38.54 $-3.29 -7.9%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 381 0.065 $24.77 $-34.02 -57.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 300 0.045 $13.50 $-94.50 -87.5%