PnL (30d)

+$325

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$866

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

100W / 0L · 75 open

Win Return (30d)

100%

167W / 0L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

175

across 51 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$7.74

avg win $8

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	96.8% 4,111W/134L	1200	$1,405,946
🌤 Weather	100.0% 153W/0L	48	$59,527
💵 Economy	100.0% 49W/0L	34	$17,652
₿ Crypto	100.0% 24W/0L	24	$11,378
🏛 Politics	100.0% 30W/0L	18	$6,489
🎬 Culture	100.0% 11W/0L	9	$5,359
🤖 Tech	100.0% 20W/0L	4	$5,030

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	29,294	0.915	$26,804.39	$701.07	+2.7%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	20,884	0.925	$19,317.83	$2,013.63	+11.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on August 5?	No	4,866	1.000	$4,863.55	$4.30	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5?	No	3,883	1.000	$3,880.77	$2.83	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	No	3,000	1.000	$2,998.50	$1.50	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5?	No	1,352	1.000	$1,351.17	$0.68	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 5?	No	575	1.000	$574.67	$0.29	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 5?	No	303	1.000	$302.48	$0.15	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5?	No	21	1.000	$20.60	$0.01	+0.0%