OraculumNobius
0xd25b8718f61fb64a754356ad8cf16b5579f59f3d
PnL (30d)
+$1,145
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$872
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
4,111W / 134L · 168 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
4,184W / 134L · 95 open
Trades (30d)
4,413
across 1,200 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.03
avg win $2 · loss $309
Profit Factor
1.74
$2,692 won / $1,547 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$995
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $175,405 · all-time $26,695,753
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29,294 |
0.915 |
$26,804.39 |
$701.07 |
+2.7% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? |
No |
20,884 |
0.925 |
$19,317.83 |
$2,013.63 |
+11.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on August 5? |
No |
4,866 |
1.000 |
$4,863.55 |
$4.30 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? |
No |
3,883 |
1.000 |
$3,880.77 |
$2.83 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? |
No |
3,000 |
1.000 |
$2,998.50 |
$1.50 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? |
No |
1,352 |
1.000 |
$1,351.17 |
$0.68 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 5? |
No |
575 |
1.000 |
$574.67 |
$0.29 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 5? |
No |
303 |
1.000 |
$302.48 |
$0.15 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
21 |
1.000 |
$20.60 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |