| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
278 |
0.465 |
$129.30 |
$23.21 |
+21.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
218 |
0.585 |
$127.42 |
$-10.45 |
-7.6% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
118 |
0.971 |
$114.39 |
$0.39 |
+0.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
96 |
0.886 |
$85.47 |
$21.89 |
+34.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
70 |
0.985 |
$68.88 |
$1.66 |
+2.5% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
105 |
0.625 |
$65.46 |
$8.56 |
+15.1% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
107 |
0.490 |
$52.34 |
$6.72 |
+14.7% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
18,251 |
0.002 |
$27.38 |
$-38.80 |
-58.6% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
10,146 |
0.003 |
$25.36 |
$-4.05 |
-13.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
25 |
0.991 |
$24.99 |
$0.35 |
+1.4% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
15,994 |
0.002 |
$23.99 |
$-37.47 |
-61.0% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
43 |
0.535 |
$23.02 |
$-1.17 |
-4.8% |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
15,054 |
0.002 |
$22.58 |
$-35.39 |
-61.0% |
| Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
22 |
1.000 |
$22.44 |
$0.16 |
+0.7% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
22 |
0.860 |
$18.94 |
$2.22 |
+13.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
1,402 |
0.013 |
$18.93 |
$6.60 |
+53.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
20 |
0.955 |
$18.64 |
$2.64 |
+16.5% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
39 |
0.465 |
$18.25 |
$-1.53 |
-7.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
59 |
0.295 |
$17.48 |
$1.48 |
+9.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
37 |
0.465 |
$17.03 |
$-1.64 |
-8.8% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
44 |
0.375 |
$16.69 |
$0.23 |
+1.4% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
17 |
0.945 |
$16.50 |
$3.02 |
+22.4% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
432 |
0.033 |
$14.04 |
$7.16 |
+103.9% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
13 |
0.996 |
$13.18 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
26 |
0.485 |
$12.52 |
$4.52 |
+56.5% |