PnL (30d)

−$23

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$137

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 7L · 163 open

Win Return (30d)

24%

40W / 130L

Trades (30d)

170

across 19 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$11.26

· loss $11

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $23 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.0% 85W/50L	53	$4,116
🏛 Politics	—	10	$180
💵 Economy	—	1	$30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	1,360	0.115	$156.40	$-33.10	-17.5%
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	Yes	2,626	0.040	$105.05	$-33.40	-24.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	1,791	0.055	$98.48	$-139.49	-58.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	485	0.155	$75.21	$-34.69	-31.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	456	0.145	$66.17	$-46.70	-41.4%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	1,142	0.055	$62.83	$-50.67	-44.6%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	244	0.220	$53.73	$-17.27	-24.3%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	532	0.095	$50.55	$-44.15	-46.6%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	584	0.065	$37.98	$-30.02	-44.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	383	0.095	$36.40	$-12.60	-25.7%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	1,081	0.033	$35.13	$-198.52	-85.0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	380	0.085	$32.34	$-29.66	-47.8%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	97	0.145	$14.07	$-10.68	-43.2%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	25	0.555	$14.02	$0.02	+0.1%
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	795	0.013	$10.73	$-21.76	-67.0%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	129	0.080	$10.30	$-4.48	-30.3%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	28	0.298	$8.48	$-0.52	-5.8%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	22	0.325	$7.29	$-0.71	-8.9%
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8	0.725	$5.81	$-0.19	-3.1%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	142	0.018	$2.55	$-8.45	-76.8%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	1	0.865	$0.97	$-0.03	-2.8%
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	Yes	3	0.270	$0.74	$-0.26	-26.4%