PnL (30d)

+$309

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$201

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+16.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

85W / 50L · 217 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

137W / 215L

Trades (30d)

352

across 53 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$12.37

avg win $45 · loss $18

Profit Factor

2.34

$540 won / $230 lost

Reward / Risk

2.54

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.0% 85W/50L	53	$4,114
🏛 Politics	—	11	$221
💵 Economy	—	1	$55

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	1,360	0.115	$156.40	$-33.10	-17.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	1,791	0.055	$98.48	$-139.49	-58.6%
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	Yes	2,626	0.031	$81.42	$-57.04	-41.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	485	0.155	$75.21	$-34.69	-31.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	456	0.160	$73.02	$-39.85	-35.3%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	1,142	0.055	$62.83	$-50.67	-44.6%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	532	0.105	$55.87	$-38.83	-41.0%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	244	0.215	$52.51	$-18.49	-26.0%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	584	0.065	$37.98	$-30.02	-44.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	383	0.095	$36.40	$-12.60	-25.7%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	1,081	0.030	$32.97	$-200.68	-85.9%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	380	0.085	$32.34	$-29.66	-47.8%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	97	0.145	$14.07	$-10.68	-43.2%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	25	0.555	$14.02	$0.02	+0.1%
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	795	0.015	$11.53	$-20.97	-64.5%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	129	0.085	$10.94	$-3.83	-25.9%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	28	0.298	$8.48	$-0.52	-5.8%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	22	0.335	$7.51	$-0.49	-6.1%
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8	0.725	$5.81	$-0.19	-3.1%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	142	0.018	$2.55	$-8.45	-76.8%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	1	0.875	$0.98	$-0.02	-1.7%
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	Yes	3	0.275	$0.75	$-0.25	-25.0%