| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
573 |
0.835 |
$478.61 |
$33.24 |
+7.5% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
447 |
0.915 |
$409.01 |
$23.79 |
+6.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
394 |
0.920 |
$362.40 |
$29.82 |
+9.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
579 |
0.455 |
$263.27 |
$-105.89 |
-28.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
311 |
0.815 |
$253.58 |
$28.93 |
+12.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
193 |
0.885 |
$171.24 |
$13.16 |
+8.3% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
132 |
0.969 |
$127.85 |
$6.53 |
+5.4% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
126 |
0.920 |
$115.78 |
$11.15 |
+10.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
121 |
0.775 |
$93.72 |
$2.98 |
+3.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
315 |
0.295 |
$92.98 |
$-31.10 |
-25.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.855 |
$92.82 |
$15.33 |
+19.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
No |
88 |
0.900 |
$78.99 |
$5.78 |
+7.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.650 |
$70.37 |
$14.43 |
+25.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.375 |
$48.64 |
$-8.52 |
-14.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
48 |
0.921 |
$43.80 |
$-1.18 |
-2.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
47 |
0.735 |
$34.91 |
$2.03 |
+6.2% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
75 |
0.405 |
$30.41 |
$-6.38 |
-17.3% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.815 |
$17.12 |
$0.56 |
+3.4% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.940 |
$11.10 |
$0.54 |
+5.1% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.635 |
$10.79 |
$-0.26 |
-2.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.785 |
$6.23 |
$2.58 |
+70.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.625 |
$3.55 |
$0.82 |
+30.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.815 |
$3.43 |
$0.15 |
+4.5% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.710 |
$2.55 |
$0.11 |
+4.4% |