| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
13,133 |
0.115 |
$1,510.32 |
$-471.43 |
-23.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
5,938 |
0.135 |
$801.59 |
$-512.04 |
-39.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
11,925 |
0.065 |
$775.16 |
$-657.91 |
-45.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,569 |
0.290 |
$745.08 |
$-80.61 |
-9.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
464 |
0.865 |
$401.74 |
$90.36 |
+29.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,667 |
0.105 |
$385.03 |
$-395.78 |
-50.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Yes |
5,559 |
0.049 |
$269.59 |
$-168.11 |
-38.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
189 |
0.905 |
$171.06 |
$18.34 |
+12.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
705 |
0.205 |
$144.53 |
$-142.11 |
-49.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
228 |
0.630 |
$143.56 |
$31.29 |
+27.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
72 |
0.895 |
$64.67 |
$12.28 |
+23.4% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
865 |
0.037 |
$32.01 |
$-32.58 |
-50.4% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
53 |
0.090 |
$4.78 |
$-21.72 |
-82.0% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.200 |
$3.27 |
$0.16 |
+5.3% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.230 |
$2.30 |
$0.30 |
+15.0% |