| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
13,133 |
0.115 |
$1,510.32 |
$-471.43 |
-23.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
5,800 |
0.160 |
$927.96 |
$-369.12 |
-28.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
11,925 |
0.065 |
$775.16 |
$-657.91 |
-45.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,569 |
0.290 |
$745.08 |
$-80.61 |
-9.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,667 |
0.125 |
$458.37 |
$-322.44 |
-41.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
464 |
0.835 |
$387.81 |
$76.43 |
+24.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Yes |
5,559 |
0.049 |
$269.59 |
$-168.11 |
-38.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
189 |
0.925 |
$174.84 |
$22.12 |
+14.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
228 |
0.590 |
$134.45 |
$22.18 |
+19.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
705 |
0.180 |
$126.91 |
$-159.74 |
-55.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
72 |
0.855 |
$61.78 |
$9.39 |
+17.9% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
865 |
0.040 |
$34.61 |
$-29.98 |
-46.4% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
53 |
0.090 |
$4.78 |
$-21.72 |
-82.0% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.195 |
$3.19 |
$0.08 |
+2.6% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.230 |
$2.30 |
$0.30 |
+15.0% |