| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
4,300 |
0.005 |
$21.50 |
$5.62 |
+35.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
50 |
0.355 |
$17.75 |
$-3.75 |
-17.4% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
4,896 |
0.004 |
$17.14 |
$7.34 |
+75.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.075 |
$15.00 |
$-4.00 |
-21.1% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
700 |
0.021 |
$14.70 |
$2.20 |
+17.6% |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
4,855 |
0.003 |
$12.14 |
$-2.43 |
-16.7% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.080 |
$12.00 |
$1.50 |
+14.3% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
5,301 |
0.002 |
$10.60 |
$-1.71 |
-13.9% |
| Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
210 |
0.049 |
$10.29 |
$-4.13 |
-28.6% |
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.200 |
$10.00 |
$2.50 |
+33.3% |
| Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31? |
Yes |
182 |
0.054 |
$9.84 |
$7.78 |
+377.2% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.006 |
$9.60 |
$0.80 |
+9.1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.045 |
$9.00 |
$1.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,162 |
0.004 |
$7.57 |
$-0.41 |
-5.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.55 |
$-0.15 |
-1.9% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.065 |
$6.50 |
$1.50 |
+30.0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.125 |
$6.25 |
$1.97 |
+46.0% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? |
Yes |
7 |
0.740 |
$5.38 |
$3.78 |
+236.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.177 |
$5.32 |
$-0.74 |
-12.1% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
2,017 |
0.003 |
$5.04 |
$-1.01 |
-16.7% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
3,334 |
0.002 |
$5.00 |
$1.67 |
+50.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.030 |
$4.58 |
$-0.38 |
-7.6% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
100 |
0.043 |
$4.34 |
$-0.16 |
-3.6% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,800 |
0.002 |
$4.20 |
$-9.50 |
-69.3% |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.013 |
$4.05 |
$-1.05 |
-20.6% |