6482f
0xd08e8f5efb47d9ff61c30e9c8546f82f7f2a2f7c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$176
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$60
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 8L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
5W / 20L
Trades (30d)
25
across 9 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$58.52
· loss $59
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $176 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41,749 · all-time $1,608,586
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
58.7%
44W/31L
|
30 |
$14,081 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
100.0%
1W/0L
|
5 |
$499 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
8,082 |
0.125 |
$1,010.19 |
$-540.89 |
-34.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,963 |
0.415 |
$814.63 |
$-18.23 |
-2.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
106 |
0.028 |
$2.90 |
$-8.10 |
-73.6% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.018 |
$1.44 |
$-6.56 |
-82.0% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.185 |
$0.84 |
$-0.16 |
-15.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.148 |
$0.62 |
$-0.38 |
-38.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.105 |
$0.22 |
$-0.78 |
-77.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
4 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-1.00 |
-99.8% |