6482f
0xd08e8f5efb47d9ff61c30e9c8546f82f7f2a2f7c
PnL (30d)
+$1,419
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$460
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+22.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
44W / 31L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
72W / 66L
Trades (30d)
138
across 30 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$94.62
avg win $692 · loss $55
Profit Factor
3.16
$2,076 won / $657 lost
Reward / Risk
12.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$350
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41,749
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
58.7%
44W/31L
|
30 |
$14,081 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
100.0%
1W/0L
|
5 |
$499 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
8,082 |
0.125 |
$1,010.19 |
$-540.89 |
-34.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,963 |
0.375 |
$736.11 |
$-96.75 |
-11.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
106 |
0.031 |
$3.27 |
$-7.73 |
-70.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.025 |
$2.00 |
$-6.00 |
-75.0% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.185 |
$0.84 |
$-0.16 |
-15.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.150 |
$0.62 |
$-0.38 |
-37.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.145 |
$0.31 |
$-0.69 |
-69.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
4 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-1.00 |
-99.8% |