| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,860 |
0.615 |
$1,143.90 |
$-234.80 |
-17.0% |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? |
Yes |
295 |
0.962 |
$283.52 |
$5.43 |
+2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
800 |
0.305 |
$243.99 |
$-99.99 |
-29.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.165 |
$132.00 |
$-105.30 |
-44.4% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
76 |
0.984 |
$74.75 |
$2.62 |
+3.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
60 |
0.675 |
$40.49 |
$0.30 |
+0.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.770 |
$38.50 |
$2.50 |
+6.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.985 |
$29.53 |
$2.33 |
+8.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.976 |
$29.27 |
$4.67 |
+19.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.959 |
$28.75 |
$5.75 |
+25.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.855 |
$25.65 |
$8.65 |
+50.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
30 |
0.825 |
$24.75 |
$14.85 |
+150.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.395 |
$19.75 |
$-4.05 |
-17.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.982 |
$19.64 |
$0.08 |
+0.4% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.972 |
$19.43 |
$1.03 |
+5.6% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
20 |
0.964 |
$19.28 |
$3.88 |
+25.2% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.964 |
$19.27 |
$1.07 |
+5.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.964 |
$19.27 |
$2.67 |
+16.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.935 |
$18.70 |
$1.90 |
+11.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.855 |
$17.10 |
$2.70 |
+18.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
18 |
0.935 |
$16.40 |
$6.40 |
+64.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.650 |
$13.00 |
$2.40 |
+22.6% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.905 |
$12.57 |
$2.57 |
+25.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.365 |
$10.95 |
$-3.25 |
-22.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
13 |
0.805 |
$10.72 |
$0.72 |
+7.2% |