| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
43 |
0.325 |
$14.13 |
$-5.87 |
-29.3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
54 |
0.255 |
$13.67 |
$-6.33 |
-31.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.969 |
$13.60 |
$1.24 |
+10.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.940 |
$12.91 |
$2.91 |
+29.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.680 |
$8.37 |
$0.37 |
+4.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.765 |
$7.39 |
$3.04 |
+70.0% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
7 |
0.997 |
$7.38 |
$1.63 |
+28.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7 |
0.999 |
$7.36 |
$1.61 |
+28.0% |
| Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.972 |
$6.83 |
$0.23 |
+3.4% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 |
No |
7 |
0.935 |
$6.79 |
$0.18 |
+2.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
7 |
0.945 |
$6.39 |
$0.64 |
+11.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
7 |
0.920 |
$6.30 |
$0.55 |
+9.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
6 |
0.988 |
$6.24 |
$0.49 |
+8.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
7 |
0.927 |
$6.17 |
$0.17 |
+2.8% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.938 |
$6.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.893 |
$6.04 |
$-0.56 |
-8.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.845 |
$5.85 |
$0.10 |
+1.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.850 |
$5.74 |
$0.74 |
+14.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
7 |
0.875 |
$5.72 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.805 |
$5.64 |
$-0.11 |
-1.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat? |
No |
6 |
0.870 |
$5.56 |
$-0.19 |
-3.3% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Yes |
9 |
0.590 |
$5.46 |
$0.46 |
+9.3% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.857 |
$5.36 |
$-0.39 |
-6.7% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.725 |
$4.97 |
$-0.03 |
-0.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.375 |
$4.94 |
$0.59 |
+13.6% |