| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
43 |
0.325 |
$14.13 |
$-5.87 |
-29.3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
54 |
0.255 |
$13.65 |
$-6.35 |
-31.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
14 |
0.968 |
$13.58 |
$1.22 |
+9.9% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.940 |
$12.91 |
$2.91 |
+29.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.675 |
$8.31 |
$0.31 |
+3.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.770 |
$7.44 |
$3.09 |
+71.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
7 |
0.997 |
$7.38 |
$1.63 |
+28.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7 |
0.999 |
$7.36 |
$1.61 |
+28.0% |
| Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.976 |
$6.86 |
$0.25 |
+3.8% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 |
No |
7 |
0.935 |
$6.79 |
$0.18 |
+2.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
7 |
0.945 |
$6.39 |
$0.64 |
+11.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
7 |
0.920 |
$6.30 |
$0.55 |
+9.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
6 |
0.992 |
$6.27 |
$0.52 |
+9.0% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
7 |
0.927 |
$6.17 |
$0.17 |
+2.8% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.938 |
$6.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.892 |
$6.03 |
$-0.57 |
-8.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.840 |
$5.82 |
$0.07 |
+1.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.850 |
$5.74 |
$0.74 |
+14.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
7 |
0.875 |
$5.72 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.799 |
$5.60 |
$-0.15 |
-2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat? |
No |
6 |
0.870 |
$5.56 |
$-0.19 |
-3.3% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.855 |
$5.35 |
$-0.40 |
-6.9% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Yes |
9 |
0.565 |
$5.23 |
$0.23 |
+4.6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.730 |
$5.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.375 |
$4.94 |
$0.59 |
+13.6% |