PnL (30d)

+$174

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+24.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

1,024W / 506L · 115 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

1,029W / 520L · 96 open

Trades (30d)

1,645

across 374 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.52

avg win $2 · loss $1

Profit Factor

2.62

$281 won / $107 lost

Reward / Risk

2.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.9% 1,024W/506L	374	$1,518
🌤 Weather	51.9% 27W/25L	21	$21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	Yes	10	0.565	$5.65	$0.25	+4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	10	0.405	$4.05	$0.55	+15.7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.160	$3.20	$-2.00	-38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?	Yes	16	0.155	$2.53	$0.80	+46.6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.245	$1.23	$0.53	+75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	40	0.013	$0.50	$-1.10	-68.8%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.007	$0.07	$-0.13	-65.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.005	$0.03	$-0.27	-90.9%