| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.585 |
$1,754.99 |
$-41.99 |
-2.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
964 |
0.465 |
$448.47 |
$-4.03 |
-0.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
1,155 |
0.345 |
$398.49 |
$103.17 |
+34.9% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
694 |
0.535 |
$371.06 |
$100.81 |
+37.3% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
396 |
0.610 |
$241.64 |
$-7.94 |
-3.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
442 |
0.490 |
$216.49 |
$-30.77 |
-12.4% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
216 |
0.987 |
$213.20 |
$4.19 |
+2.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.962 |
$192.30 |
$2.30 |
+1.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
193 |
0.991 |
$191.17 |
$3.87 |
+2.1% |
| Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
181 |
0.992 |
$179.13 |
$2.85 |
+1.6% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? |
No |
594 |
0.175 |
$103.87 |
$-34.66 |
-25.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
111 |
0.920 |
$101.69 |
$7.73 |
+8.2% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? |
No |
343 |
0.275 |
$94.45 |
$-1.72 |
-1.8% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? |
No |
119 |
0.705 |
$83.82 |
$-4.80 |
-5.4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.275 |
$82.43 |
$-7.40 |
-8.2% |
| Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montreal |
No |
108 |
0.745 |
$80.20 |
$1.61 |
+2.1% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? |
No |
146 |
0.540 |
$78.73 |
$3.37 |
+4.5% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
186 |
0.415 |
$77.15 |
$4.91 |
+6.8% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
70 |
0.979 |
$68.58 |
$1.96 |
+2.9% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
Yes |
287 |
0.235 |
$67.37 |
$-51.43 |
-43.3% |
| Valorant: SK Nebula vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage |
SK Nebula |
78 |
0.855 |
$66.44 |
$14.38 |
+27.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.205 |
$61.44 |
$-25.47 |
-29.3% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? |
Yes |
217 |
0.275 |
$59.78 |
$-9.78 |
-14.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat? |
No |
822 |
0.065 |
$53.43 |
$-20.55 |
-27.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.170 |
$50.83 |
$-30.05 |
-37.2% |