| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,433 |
0.615 |
$1,496.53 |
$33.84 |
+2.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
930 |
0.465 |
$432.63 |
$-4.20 |
-1.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
1,155 |
0.345 |
$398.49 |
$103.17 |
+34.9% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
694 |
0.540 |
$374.53 |
$104.28 |
+38.6% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
396 |
0.610 |
$241.64 |
$-7.94 |
-3.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
442 |
0.490 |
$216.49 |
$-30.77 |
-12.4% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
216 |
0.987 |
$213.20 |
$4.19 |
+2.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.962 |
$192.30 |
$2.30 |
+1.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
193 |
0.991 |
$191.17 |
$3.87 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
300 |
0.625 |
$187.48 |
$-3.15 |
-1.7% |
| Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
181 |
0.992 |
$179.13 |
$2.85 |
+1.6% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? |
No |
326 |
0.540 |
$175.78 |
$7.53 |
+4.5% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? |
No |
594 |
0.245 |
$145.42 |
$6.88 |
+5.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
111 |
0.930 |
$102.79 |
$8.83 |
+9.4% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? |
No |
343 |
0.275 |
$94.45 |
$-1.72 |
-1.8% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? |
No |
119 |
0.710 |
$84.41 |
$-4.21 |
-4.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.275 |
$82.43 |
$-7.40 |
-8.2% |
| Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montreal |
No |
108 |
0.750 |
$80.74 |
$2.15 |
+2.7% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
Yes |
287 |
0.255 |
$73.11 |
$-45.70 |
-38.5% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
186 |
0.385 |
$71.57 |
$-0.67 |
-0.9% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
70 |
0.958 |
$67.11 |
$0.49 |
+0.7% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.210 |
$62.94 |
$-23.98 |
-27.6% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? |
Yes |
217 |
0.275 |
$59.78 |
$-9.78 |
-14.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat? |
No |
822 |
0.065 |
$53.43 |
$-20.55 |
-27.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.165 |
$49.33 |
$-31.55 |
-39.0% |