PnL (30d)

−$225

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$410

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

99W / 12L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

90%

109W / 12L

Trades (30d)

121

across 13 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$22.55

avg win $62 · loss $221

Profit Factor

0.66

$437 won / $663 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$374

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.2% 99W/12L	13	$11,909
🏛 Politics	92.3% 24W/2L	4	$8,116
💵 Economy	100.0% 17W/0L	1	$2,369
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$374

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	5,867	0.845	$4,958.02	$342.54	+7.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	1,243	0.786	$977.71	$183.36	+23.1%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	189	0.927	$175.25	$18.23	+11.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	786	0.155	$121.87	$-74.69	-38.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	122	0.785	$95.61	$34.71	+57.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	125	0.215	$26.84	$-29.33	-52.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	30	0.655	$19.83	$7.12	+56.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	13	0.963	$12.12	$0.60	+5.2%