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Trader

0xcef6c12ad7036a2cf4e5f5a845fdc9d58a3f2ade
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$388
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
1,045W / 703L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
1,075W / 718L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
1,796
across 661 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.62
avg win $2 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.67
$776 won / $1,163 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$81
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,572 · all-time $236,200

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.3% 3,547W/2,242L 2244 $14,669
🌤 Weather 63.4% 187W/108L 188 $739
⚽ Sports 57.2% 162W/121L 84 $819

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 46 1.000 $45.98 $10.89 +31.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 25 1.000 $25.18 $9.59 +61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 24 1.000 $23.99 $9.73 +68.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 19 1.000 $18.99 $7.74 +68.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? No 24 0.685 $16.44 $0.42 +2.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? No 12 1.000 $11.99 $3.24 +37.1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 12 1.000 $11.99 $1.17 +10.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? Yes 11 0.985 $10.83 $2.51 +30.2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? No 9 1.000 $9.00 $2.76 +44.2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 9 0.920 $8.28 $1.43 +20.9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? No 9 0.875 $7.88 $1.57 +25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? No 14 0.550 $7.70 $-1.23 -13.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 7 1.000 $7.00 $1.64 +30.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? No 8 0.865 $6.92 $1.72 +33.1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 6? No 9 0.765 $6.88 $0.67 +10.7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6? No 9 0.670 $6.03 $-0.03 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? Yes 6 1.000 $6.00 $0.48 +8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 6 1.000 $6.00 $3.30 +122.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5? No 6 1.000 $6.00 $0.38 +6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5? No 6 1.000 $6.00 $0.32 +5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? No 6 0.995 $5.97 $1.51 +33.8%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 6? No 9 0.625 $5.62 $-0.04 -0.8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? No 8 0.690 $5.52 $0.01 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 6? No 8 0.685 $5.48 $-0.08 -1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 6? No 6 0.910 $5.46 $0.22 +4.2%