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Trader

0xcef6c12ad7036a2cf4e5f5a845fdc9d58a3f2ade
PnL (30d)
−$601
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
3,547W / 2,242L · 216 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
3,689W / 2,304L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
6,005
across 2,243 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.29
avg win $2 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.84
$3,079 won / $3,680 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$199
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,555

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.3% 3,547W/2,242L 2243 $14,667
🌤 Weather 62.3% 195W/118L 195 $768
⚽ Sports 59.1% 185W/128L 95 $980

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 46 1.000 $45.98 $10.89 +31.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 25 1.000 $25.18 $9.59 +61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 24 1.000 $23.99 $9.73 +68.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 19 0.997 $18.94 $7.69 +68.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? No 24 0.695 $16.68 $0.66 +4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? No 12 1.000 $11.99 $3.24 +37.1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 12 1.000 $11.99 $1.17 +10.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? Yes 11 0.945 $10.39 $2.08 +24.9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? No 9 1.000 $9.00 $2.76 +44.2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 9 0.950 $8.55 $1.70 +24.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? No 14 0.580 $8.12 $-0.81 -9.1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? No 9 0.850 $7.65 $1.35 +21.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 7 1.000 $7.00 $1.64 +30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 6? No 9 0.765 $6.88 $0.67 +10.7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6? No 9 0.735 $6.62 $0.56 +9.2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? No 8 0.825 $6.60 $1.40 +26.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 9 0.675 $6.08 $-0.66 -9.9%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 6 1.000 $6.00 $3.30 +122.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5? No 6 1.000 $6.00 $0.38 +6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5? No 6 1.000 $6.00 $0.32 +5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? Yes 6 0.999 $5.99 $0.47 +8.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? No 8 0.720 $5.76 $0.25 +4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 6? No 8 0.685 $5.48 $-0.08 -1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 6? No 9 0.605 $5.45 $-0.36 -6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? No 6 0.890 $5.34 $-0.24 -4.3%