PnL (30d)

+$0

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

19W / 14L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

29W / 17L

Trades (30d)

46

across 17 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.04

avg win $10 · loss $26

Profit Factor

1.01

$77 won / $77 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$35

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.5% 228W/183L	250	$5,540
🎬 Culture	48.3% 29W/31L	25	$705
🤖 Tech	57.6% 19W/14L	17	$555
🏛 Politics	37.0% 10W/17L	8	$151
💵 Economy	80.0% 4W/1L	3	$61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?	No	550	0.915	$503.25	$147.75	+41.6%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	476	0.900	$428.79	$19.06	+4.7%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call?	Yes	90	0.950	$85.50	$9.00	+11.8%
Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call?	Yes	88	0.961	$84.58	$17.09	+25.3%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	98	0.675	$65.90	$14.30	+27.7%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	200	0.195	$39.00	$-18.91	-32.7%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call?	No	60	0.385	$23.10	$1.50	+6.9%
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?	No	37	0.555	$20.55	$-10.17	-33.1%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call?	No	30	0.365	$10.95	$-8.55	-43.8%
Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call?	No	6	0.400	$2.40	$1.08	+81.8%
Will Airbnb say "International" during earnings call?	No	1	0.345	$0.49	$0.06	+15.0%